Facebook may be losing teenage users to Instagram, others

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By Reuters | Updated: 31 October 2013 17:47 IST
Facebook Inc shares steadied on Thursday after wobbling in the wake of post-earnings comments by company executives about slowing use and a strategy of not increasing the frequency of ads shown to users.

Facebook shares breached the $50 mark in heavy premarket trading after at least 10 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets, to as much as $63. The stock has nearly doubled in value this year.

The company reported better-than-expected results on Wednesday, helped by strong advertising revenue. But Chief Financial Officer David Ebersman later said there had been a decrease in daily users, specifically among younger teens.

Ebersman also said the company would not boost the frequency of ads one per 20 stories in the newsfeed shown to users.

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Facebook's shares soared as much as 15 percent in extended trading on Wednesday before suddenly falling to $47.40, down 3 percent from their $49.10 close. The stock settled at $49.16.

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Analysts said on Thursday the move to stick to the number of newsfeed ads was likely a right strategy.

"We believe managing ad load is important to maintaining the user experience for the long term," J.P. Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth said in a client note. The analyst raised his price target on the stock by $9 to $62.

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Facebook's newsfeed ads, which inject paid marketing messages into a user's stream of content, have boosted the company's revenue and its stock price.

But the company has had to be careful not to turn off users with too many ads.

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Facebook's third-quarter advertising revenue rose 66 percent, with mobile ads making up about half of total ad revenue.

"The well-above trend figure provides confidence that growth can continue at a rapid clip," Pivotal Research Group analyst Brian Wieser said in a note, upgrading the stock to "buy" from "hold."

Some analysts said that while early teenagers were ditching Facebook, some were joining Facebook-owned Instagram. This puts the company in a good position to monetize the mobile photo-sharing app, they said.

"We continue to see two major catalysts in Instagram and video ads, which could be FB's next billion-dollar business," Jefferies & Co analysts said.

According to some reports, Facebook is set to unveil video ads, that are expected to autoplay, in newsfeeds.

UBS raised its price target on the stock to $62 from $60, RBC Capital Markets to $60 from $52 and Stifel Nicolaus to $56 from $50.

© Thomson Reuters 2013

 

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