Predictive tools help guide investments in clean energy, improving success and impact in climate and economic outcomes.
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Forecasting tools can improve global clean energy investment decisions and outcomes
Predicting where to invest in "clean" energy can help governments and Companies more effectively allocate funds, a new study finds. Hybridizing data-driven forecasts with expert-focused analysis, they are better able to anticipate the technologies that will drive economic, environmental, and societal growth. The study suggests that knowledge of the evolution of technologies, their economic effect, and environmental consequences can help to rationalize investment decisions and reduce risk. This process matters now, experts say, when hardcore climate imperatives and resource constraints are forcing careful planning to maximize impact and accelerate the clean energy transition.
According to a report in Nature Energy, Professor Trancik and her co-authors emphasized the significance of prediction for making decisions about a variety of clean energy technologies. They added that predictive models project gains and uncertainties, but stakeholder involvement is crucial, and the merging of engineering with social data aids in signalling public and private clean energy investments.
The paper discusses forecasting technologies, evaluating social, economic, and environmental impacts, and applying lessons learned, and concludes that managing uncertainty is critical to creating credible models with which to drive relevant clean energy investment.
There are still challenges in terms of data validation, model validation, and data collection; although raw data abounds, there are quality discrepancies. Streamlining models and then testing predictions against real results creates more reliability for investors and policymakers.
The research has global relevance, establishing that predictive tools can help governments and companies better spend money in ways that restore more benefits to the climate, economy, and society while tackling big problems such as climate change and energy access.
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